PGA Betting, DFS Picks – Golf Betting Research (CJ Cup)

The purpose of this article is to help us get to grips with how we can expect the course to play out, what kind of skills matter most, and who the best players on the court are in those categories. For the microwave food analogy that will water this article throughout, I hope this piece takes you straight to the lobster as you search through the buffet of golfers to throw on your DFS plate.

That being said, you can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of time @TheModelManiacif you have any questions, compliments or insults for me.

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Congaree Golf Club: Par: 71, Distance: 7,655, Greens: Bermuda

With a single set of data and a weak field compiling it, the week leading up to a big last year, below how each statistical category correlated with success. Distance and accuracy off the tee are much more important this week, almost rivaling approach play which is usually still the most predictive stat.

The usual (price history)

Few players have visited Congaree Golf Club before, with only nine professionals having played four full rounds here. Hatton, Fitzpatrick, English and Reavie all gained more than two strokes per round when they appeared at the Palmetto Championship last year.

This week’s promotions (recent form)

A top-20 top four major hit won categories in the final 24 rounds. Remember that for some of these numbers, the last 24 rounds could have taken place several months ago.

The top 20 players with the most hits in the last 24 rounds.

The top 20 players with the most tee shots in the last 24 rounds.

The top 20 players with the most approach shots in the last 24 rounds.

The top 20 players with the most shots around the green in the last 24 rounds.

The top 20 players with the most hits in the last 24 rounds.

Let the Big Dog Eat (Driving Stats)

Any stat that does not have an “L24” is a base stat and is weighted at 95% (2022) and 5% (2023) per season.

The Driving Stats portion of the article includes shots won off the tee, distance, accuracy, and good shots won.

Chefs Recommendation: Off The Tee (includes both distance and accuracy).

Top 20 players win from the tee

Top 20 Players Who Hit Bombs

Top 20 Most Accurate Drivers In The Field

Top 20 players get good records

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Meat and potatoes (approach statistics)

Approach. East. King!

Approach shots won is the stat that has the strongest correlation to total shots won and a good approach player provides consistent performance, usually with a relatively high floor. It is indeed the meat and potatoes of all stats.

Chiefs Recommendation: 67% of shots were from 125-200 and 250+ the last time an event was played here.

Approaching the Top 20 in strokes gained

Top 20 players near the fairway of 125-200 and 250+ (67% of shots were from by last year)

Top 20 players in approximate close range of 125-200 and 250+ (67% of shots came by last year)

Scrambled eggs (around the green)

Who likes to scramble their eggs? Who digests their fried eggs the best? Let’s find out.

Chiefs Recommendation: Congaree has tons of sand, so bunker play will be key this week.

The top 20 best around the green

The top 20 of the best proximities of the fringe

The top 20 of the best proximities to the sand

The top 20 best rough proximities

Eat your greens (putting)

Every week we visit a green area that has a specific grass. Players have an appetite for different types of grass and some golfers simply play better on Bermuda grass.

Chefs Recommendation: Bermuda Putting

The 20 best putters in the field.

Top 20 from 5 to 15 feet

Top 20 Bermuda Greens

Top 20 Bermu-DUHS! (Who putt better on Bermuda)

Top 20 Bermu-DONTS! (Who putt worse on Bermuda)

Sprinkles and syrup (rating stats)

Whatever you like on your ice cream or cheesecake, add a little more to it with some score stats.

Chefs recommendation: average rating of the dish

Top 20 scorers on medium courses (where par for top 5 was -10 or better).

Top 20 birdie makers.

Best for playing boring golf, avoiding bogeys.

Who goes the fastest in the hole in par 5?

The Fortune Cookie (above average in six key stats)

Fortune smiles on the brave, and these 4 guys seem to be above average in all six key categories recommended by the chef. Two of them are on my outright card this week.

I hope this has helped you reduce your players with ease and success.

Good luck this week and as always, may the odds always be in your favour!!!

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Michael C. Ford